| Bangkok
Thailand – Feb. 11, 2000
Lessons from the First Year and
Challenges for the Jubilee Debt Campaign
John Dillon, Canadian Ecumenical
Jubilee Initiative
The Jubilee debt petition campaign was
a popular mobilization success without a commensurate policy response
from G7 governments or the IMF and the World Bank. Let’s never lose
site of the successful part – 17 million signatures worldwide
re-established debt bondage as an international issue at a time when
most debtor governments had resigned themselves to continue making
payment after payment on debts that can never be paid off. This level of
popular mobilization and awareness building is a basis for achieving a
great deal more.
We in the Canadian Jubilee campaign
take the position that the agenda for future Jubilee debt campaigning
must be worked out in dialogue with Jubilee South. We agree with our
partners in Jubilee South who say "There can be no effective
redressing of North South relations or effective debt action if the
people of the South are not directly involved."
The G7’s Köln Debt Initiative is
totally inadequate. In Köln we called it a "lost
opportunity". We need to remember that the HIPC Initiative was a
creditors’ initiative - it came from creditors who knew they could
never collect about half of low-income countries’ debts. Most of the
debts to be written off are not being serviced in any case. The latest
(Dec. 7, 1999) IMF estimates of the total amount of debt reduction for
32 HIPCs amounts to US28.2 billion in Net Present Value terms which
implies nominal debt reduction of around US$50 billion
Since half of that was already eligible
for write-off under Pre-Köln HIPC terms, the net amount of new debt
relief added by Köln Debt Initiative is only about US$25 billion in
nominal terms. Another US$20 billion in bilateral Official Development
Assistance loans owed to the G7 and perhaps another US$20 billion in
nominal ODA owed to other creditors may be added to this amount.
Eric Toussaint correctly describes the
Köln terms as offering "a drop of reduction in an ocean of
debts" since the new debt reduction only amounts to at most 2.6% of
developing country debt.
Although the quantity of debt reduction
was paltry, in the view of the Canadian Ecumenical Jubilee Initiative
the most important shortcoming of Köln Debt Initiative is its failure
to end Structural Adjustment conditionality which I shall discuss below.
How do we account for our failure to make more progress at Köln?
The vague wording of the Jubilee
petition was both a strength and a weakness of the campaign. On the one
hand it made the campaign adaptable to different national settings but
at the same time it was eminently co-optable.
How to define "poorest
countries"? "unpayable debts"? Different national
campaigns had different definitions. Our understanding of
"unpayable" evolved.
In Canada, we took it to mean all of
the debt of 50 plus low-income countries and a portion of the debt of
middle income countries. We said that for low-income countries no level
of debt is sustainable, and that in the spirit of Jubilee, all of that
debt should be cancelled to achieve a genuine fresh start.
Other Northern campaigns took different
perspectives reflecting positions which took into account historical
precedents and/or human development indicators.
As the campaign grew into an
international movement, diverse perspectives, contexts and experiences,
particularly from Southern campaigns, led to an evolving understanding
of the debt cancellation call. At the first international meeting of the
Jubilee movement held in Rome in November of 1998, participants
struggled with the word "unpayable" seeking interpretations
that reflected this diversity. "The Jubilee Call for Debt
Cancellation" issued in Rome linked four kinds of debt to this
malleable word:
- debt which could not be serviced
without placing a burden on impoverished people
- debt that in real terms has already
been paid
- debt for improperly designed
projects and programs
- odious debt and debt incurred by
repressive regimes.
In Canada we encourage our constituency
to see the debt in moral terms –
exploring themes of social and
ecological debts that raise the question of "Who owes Whom?"
We present debt cancellation as an act of justice, of atonement for past
injustice not of charity. Our education strategy is to deepen awareness
and commitment rather than seek the broadest number of signatures.
Therefore we always ask people to do more - sign a petition; then write
a postcard; then write a letter; then make a pledge to take action in
one’s local community; then meet with a Member of Parliament etc.
We’re currently in the process of
designing the second phase of our campaign and see this forum as an
opportunity for dialogue on how we should shape that campaign.
We in Canada came late to the Jubilee
campaign after it was already launched in the UK. The UK petition was
already circulating in Canada when we held our first meeting. We were
critical of the narrow focus of the UK petition - for debt remission for
low-income countries only and its lack of specific criticism of
Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs).
We tried to strike a balance - wording
our own petition language sufficiently close to that of the UK so that
it would be seen as the same campaign and going farther by campaigning
against structural adjustment conditionality. From the beginning we
committed ourselves to a second phase of campaigning which would address
middle-income country debt. That is to say we agreed to sequencing.
In retrospect we see that we should
have been bolder - limiting our demand for debt remission to 50
countries identified as "the poorest" enabled the Canadian
government to get off too easy. Their tactic was to try to look good by
being the first country to offer 100% bilateral debt remission - but
they only extended this offer to least developed countries (lldc’s).
Only 11 of the countries on our list of 50 were least developed
countries with outstanding debts owed to Canada and these were
relatively small. The total bilateral debt owed to Canada by these 11
lldc’s [C$261 million] was about the same as the amount owed to Canada
by Côte d’Ivoire [C$251 million] alone and much less than that owed
by Cameroon [C$440 million]. Both Côte d’Ivoire and Cameroon are
HIPCs but not lldc’s, and therefore not eligible for the top up beyond
what the Paris Club might offer.
Currently we are asking the Canadian
government to announce in the federal budget at end of February an
extension of its offer of 100% bilateral write-offs to all low-income
countries. We believe Canada should at least match the promises made by
the USA and the UK to offer 100% bilateral debt remission to all
countries that qualify under HIPC.
We made one small, symbolic gain in
persuading Canada to offer debt cancellation to some low income
countries that are not designated as HIPCs. This year the Canadian
government wrote off a C$600,000 (US$416,000) debt owed by Bangladesh
but they have yet to carry through on a promise to include Haiti,
another non-HIPC in a unilateral write-off. Asked why they acted on
Bangladesh and not Haiti, Canadian Finance officials said they have
confidence that Bangladesh has "a good record on economic
policies" but Haiti does not.
I cite this anecdote to show that
conditionality based on a creditor’s judgement of a country’s
economic policies can also be applied informally and arbitrarily by a
single creditor government as well as through formal intervention by the
IMF.
Four Challenges for the Next Stage of
the Jubilee Debt Campaign
A. Conditionality – the PRGF, SAPs
and "progressive conditionality"
Our Canadian campaign did put the issue
of conditionality into our petition. We debated whether to use the words
"Structural Adjustment Programs" in the petition itself and in
the end decided that not enough Canadians would understand the phrase
and so we decided to describe the effects of structural adjustment
Our Canadian petition said debt
cancellation should not to be conditional on the adoption of
"measures demanded by international financial institutions that
erode health care, education and the environment, further impoverishing
the poorest populations of the world." In our letters and
discussions with Canadian government officials we have made it very
clear that this phrase means that we are campaigning for an end to SAPs.
However, in retrospect we now see that
we oversold the notion that SAPs invariably lead to cuts in spending on
health and education without addressing other ways that SAPs cause
poverty e.g. through overzealous anti-inflationary monetary policy,
privatization, inappropriate rural development policies etc.
Our rhetorical emphasis on health and
education left us vulnerable to the tactical shift that occurred when
the G7 and the IMF began to pay more attention to the levels of
social spending without modifying the essential neoliberal policy
direction of SAPs. The IMF points to a review of 44 low-income countries
that had SAPs during 1994-98 which "indicates that about 80 percent
of the programs sought increases in public spending on education and
health care."
The official G7 Köln Debt Initiative
calls for "a framework for poverty reduction" to be
"integrated with structural adjustment programs". This
ambiguous language implies that poverty reduction can somehow be grafted
onto SAPs.
We say that attempting to graft poverty
reduction branches onto the noxious tree of Structural Adjustment
Programs is contrary to the Jubilee movement’s call for liberation
from debt bondage. In fact, the new foliage seems designed to obscure
the fundamental problems that extend down into the roots of SAP
conditionality.
The next stage of our campaign must
reject all conditions as undemocratic violations of sovereignty. We see
ourselves as marching forward in step with the Jubilee South Summit
which "rejected all policies derived from the ... neo-liberal
paradigm. Delegates demanded an end to Structural Adjustment Programs,
at the centre of neo-liberal imposition and co-optation, and all new
versions of SAPs including those encompassed in the ... IMF Poverty
Reduction Facility, as well as the notion of external conditionality in
all of its dimensions or forms."
Jubilee South’s explicit rejection of
all forms of external conditionality challenges us to stand with them in
demanding an end to SAPs and not just their modification.
The challenge for us in Canada is to
explain to our constituency why the Poverty Reduction and Growth
Facility’s (PRGF) adoption of new language concerning poverty
reduction cannot deliver liberation from debt bondage. We begin this
task by showing that the PRGF does not constitute a new paradigm.
We are endeavouring to educate our
constitutency concerning how SAPs serve private capital. SAPs assist
transnational corporations, to trade, invest and move capital around the
globe with a minimum amount of government interference. Indeed, from
their very beginning this role for SAPs was applauded by the largest US
banks. In the mid-eighties when US Treasury Secretary James Baker
launched his plan for containing the debt crisis, Morgan Guarantee
Trust, welcomed the Baker Plan saying that SAPs promised the
"liberation of the private sector from distorting price, wage,
trade, exchange and credit controls."
The PRGF must be seen in the context of
efforts by the international financial institutions to maintain and
enhance their power. Recall how the IMF wanted to use some of the
proceeds from the revaluation of its gold stocks to fund the PRGF as a
self-sustaining facility without having to return periodically to
"donor" governments for replenishments. We can anticipate a
public relations campaign from the Fund and the Bank to sell their
agenda with attempts to co-opt our language and perhaps some NGOs in the
process.
While the rhetoric of the PRGF is about
poverty reduction its actual documents on operational issues tell us
otherwise. In attempting to explain how the Fund and the Bank will
collaborate on implementing the PRGF, the IMF reveals the wide extent of
the conditionality it intends to maintain:
The Fund staff will take the lead in
offering advice to the authorities in the areas of its traditional
mandate and responsibility. This would include promoting prudent
macroeconomic policies; structural reforms in related areas, such as
exchange rate and tax policy; and issues related to fiscal management,
budget execution, fiscal transparency and tax and customs
administration.
The same document then adds:
The Bank staff will take the lead in
advising the authorities in the design of poverty reduction strategies,
... the design of sectoral strategies, reforms that assure more
efficient and responsive institutions, ... and in other structural
reforms such as privatization and regulatory reform.
As if these conditions were not
sufficient, the document goes on to add that the government that is
nominally responsible for the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSP)
will receive advice from both the Bank and the Fund on many other areas.
These include the "establishment
of an environment conducive to private sector growth, trade
liberalization and financial sector development."
Elsewhere the same document makes it
clear that the Boards of the Bank and the Fund can veto assistance to
these countries under the HIPC Initiative or other Bank or Fund programs
if they are not satisfied with the policies outlined in the country’s
Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper.
Is this really a new direction? The
words of the Netherlands Executive Director to the IMF commenting on the
PRGF to NGOs are very clear: "It’s not about abandoning
conditionality ... The IMF still leads on macro, the World Bank on
social. In reality it’s not that big a departure; it’s in our interests
to make it seem like a big deal."
Is the World Bank really able to advise
on poverty reduction?
An internal World Bank study leaked to
the Financial Times found "a disconnect between Bank policy
and practice." The internal study reviewed 54 structural adjustment
and sectoral loans made between July 1997 and December 1998. The Bank’s
review concluded: "The majority of loans do not address poverty
directly, the likely economic impact of proposed operations on the poor
or ways to mitigate negative effects of reform."
A major problem is the incompatibility
of the Bank’s two roles — as a lender and as a poverty fighter. The
former role too often overshadows the latter. The World Bank functions
much like a private lending institution where the staff advance their
careers by successfully persuading clients to take on new loans. The
poverty alleviation or poverty aggravation effects of those loans don’t
show up until years after the money has been spent and the lending
officer has moved on.
Can there be "positive
conditionality"?
This issue dogged the Canadian
Ecumenical Jubilee Initiative throughout the last year. The challenge we
heard over and over again was usually phrased as "How can we be
sure the money freed up by debt remission will be used wisely?"
This brought to the fore a subtle racism - a distrust of peoples of
Southern countries, especially Africans, to manage their own affairs as
if corruption only occurred in the South and not among politicians and
coprorate executives in Canada as well.
We felt this question had to be
addressed in an open and democratic way and so we held a full day forum
during which we debated whether or not what are sometimes called
"positive conditions" should be attached to debt remission.
Our debate resulted in the adoption of
the following policy position:
1. As a principled position, we support
the call for unconditional debt cancellation. We have consistently
opposed structural adjustment programs in their own right and as
eligibility criteria for debt cancellation, and now extend that
opposition to all creditor conditionality (even that which is referred
to as positive). Exceptions to this principle are those situations in
which our partners in the specific country issue a call for conditions.
In other words, the primary locus for debt conditionality must be with
the debtors who will make the decisions on this issue. Upon hearing from
representative groupings of civil society in an affected country that
debt cancellation should be withheld until a particular condition is
met, we will take that same position regarding that country with our
government.
2. Given the primacy of international
human rights law, unconditional debt cancellation does not mean that we,
or any government, are free of existing international agreements.
Governments must be accountable to standards to which the international
community has already agreed, whether that be civil and political
rights, social economic and cultural rights, or poverty eradication
targets. We support strengthening the United Nations mechanisms which
strive to ensure that these commitments are upheld. We remain committed
to our ongoing work as Canadian churches in these and other fora to
address human rights and other humanitarian concerns.
3. We support the broadest and widest
involvement of civil society of affected countries, in shaping all parts
of the discussion and debate regarding debt cancellation. We support
civil society in debtor countries as they engage in their efforts to
hold their governments accountable.
4. We call on our government to show
policy coherence, engaging in consistent relationships with other
nations that are based on internationally agreed upon humanitarian
standards and principles. In showing policy coherence we particularly
ask the government of Canada to consider its own record of realisation
of human rights, including the elimination of poverty in Canada.
Finally, in putting forward these
conclusions, we identify the need for tools for ourselves and our
constituency to grapple with these issues. We must be prepared to assist
them and ourselves to answer complex and difficult questions. We believe
the debate on this issue will be ongoing, and wish to facilitate and
encourage further conversation. However, we are committed to having that
discussion in the context of our goal of elimination of the scourge of
debt burdening poor countries and people the globe over.
---------------------
This position is not universally held
by all NGOs in Canada. There are dissenting voices who still believe
that creditors should impose so-called "positive conditions"
but this is the position of the Canadian Ecumenical Jubilee Initiative.
B. Middle-Income Country Debt
In the Canadian Ecumenical Jubilee
Initiative we have not set quantitative targets for the reduction of
middle-income country debt. Instead we have affirmed principles, saying
countries should not have to pay debts contracted by repressive,
undemocratic governments or debts used for nefarious purposes or debts
that grew because of the compounding of interest after interest rates
were unilaterally raised by northern countries in the early 1980s. We
wish to develop collaboratively concrete ways of addressing these
issues.
A campaign for the cancellation of
middle-income country debts is both similar and in important respects
different from a campaign for wiping out low-income country debts. One
similarity stems from the fact that just as the creditors’ HIPC
Initiative preceded the Jubilee petition campaign so was there an
earlier official effort to write down middle income country debt to
"sustainable" levels. It was known as the Brady Plan
introduced by US Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady in 1989.
When the Brady Plan was introduced we
in the Ecumenical Coalition for Economic Justice said the amount of debt
relief involved was "far below the amount needed to release
countries from debt bondage". The Brady Plan also introduced for
the first time the practice of attaching SAPs to debt relief and not
just to new loans as under the Baker Plan.
In retrospect we can say the Brady Plan
"succeeded" in one respect - it allowed major private banks to
offload the portion of their debt they considered uncollectable
(converting some of it into tradable Brady bonds) without facing
outright defaults.
Since 1989 the composition of
middle-income country debt has changed. In the 70s and 80s it was
predominantly a case of private bank loans to governments. In the 1990s
governments and private and state corporations within middle-income
countries relied more on bond issues and less on bank loans.
In contrast to low-income countries
which have become more and more dependent on public creditors (only 23%
of their debt stocks are private) middle-income country debt grew in the
1990s largely because private firms borrowed abroad from private
lenders.
Yet when we look at the World Bank
figures on total debt stocks, we see that, at the end of 1998, 81% of
total long-term debt of middle-income countries is public or publicly
guaranteed. Part of the reason is that many of these private debts were
publicly guaranteed from the beginning.
But another way private debts become a
public responsibility is through IMF-organized bailouts that have forced
governments to take responsibility for dubious private debts.
Over US$200 billion worth of bailouts
arranged by the IMF since 1995 have saddled the peoples of Mexico,
Thailand, Indonesia, South Korea and Brazil with new debts while private
investors were allowed to take their money and run.
As Martin Khor has written "The
IMF practices double standards... On the one hand it insists that the
governments play by strict market rules and not put in money to aid
ailing local financial institutions and companies. But on the other hand
it wants the governments to pay back all the external loans contracted
from international banks, including the huge debts of the private sector
that have gone sour."
A major challenge for the Jubilee
campaign is to confront this practice whereby the IMF and the US
Treasury, in consort with other governments and International Financial
Institutions, use public money to bailout private foreign investors,
burdening peoples with ever higher debt loads. In the absence of any
kind of standstill mechanism or capital controls, private investors are
free to take their money and run at the first sign of trouble.
While bailout loans nominally go to the
governments of the crisis-stricken countries, the money often ends up in
private coffers. This pattern characterized the Mexican crisis of
1994-95 when over half of the rescue package organized by the US
Treasury and the IMF was used to pay off the holders of tesobonos
a special kind of Mexican government bond indexed to the peso-dollar
exchange rate. Out of a total bailout package worth US$48 billion, US$29
billion went to owners of tesobonos. While the bondholders and
the leading Wall Street firms that arranged the transactions got their
money back, the Mexican people were saddled with a debt that had both
IMF structural adjustment conditions and further bilateral conditions
demanded by the USA attached.
When the IMF provides a central bank
with more foreign exchange reserves and at the same time prescribes
austere fiscal and monetary policies, speculators know they can bet
against that country’s currency with a high degree of success.
This is scandalous. Michel Chossodovsky
cites the Wall Street Journal’s succinct description of what
happened in Brazil:
"the $41.5 billion of foreign
currency that the IMF marshaled to back Brazil's currency, was doomed to
end up with the speculators, leaving Brazil with its foreign currency
debt increased by that amount. So often has this scenario been played
out... [for] other currencies kept at artificial heights with interest
rates, that by now the ploy should be known to schoolboys. The
government whose currency is attacked draws on foreign loans arranged by
the IMF, and turns over the foreign currency to buy back its own paper.
The ‘assisted’ country ends up with the foreign debt to the amount
of the ‘aid’ while the speculators pocket the proceeds of the loans,
and move on to the next replay of the scam."
Chossodovsky concludes the IMF, the G7
and 14 other countries that co-financed the bailout "bear a heavy
burden of responsibility in endorsing a multi-billion dollar scam
conducive to the brutal impoverishment of the Brazilian people."
I cite these examples of bailouts of
the private sector by way of saying that when it comes to dealing with
middle-income countries’ debt the challenge is not just to deal with past
debts but also with the present mechanism which is increasing
middle-income countries’ debts. I propose that debts that accrue
through IMF bailouts of private creditors are not legitimate.
C. Decommissioning the IMF
Addressing the IMF’s practice of
bailing out private creditors necessarily takes us onto the wider
challenge to "decommission the IMF" to use Walden Bello’s
evocative comparison with the decommissioning of a nuclear power plant.
The Jubilee South Summit concluded that
the IMF and the WTO cannot be reformed "So Shut them down!" I
agree that they cannot be reformed but it won’t be an easy or simple
process to abolish them. It may take some time and several steps. That’s
why I like Walden’s analogy. There are many steps in the
decommissioning of a nuclear power plant, not least of which is making
the people who built it take responsibility for cleaning up its toxic
wastes. Walden calls for "an immediate dismantling of all SAPs; an
immediate reduction of the IMF professional staff [and] major cuts in
both capital expenditures and operational expenditures of the
institution".
Last year when many of us gathered here
in Bangkok for another conference we called for the resignation of
Michel Camdessus and he did resign! So let’s think big along the lines
of Walden’s proposals. In making our plans for decommissioning the IMF
we must also be aware that many private financiers, the ideological
champions of unfettered financial markets, want to keep the IMF in
existence for two reasons. First, they want it to continue as a
disciplinarian imposing neo-liberal SAPs on debtor countries. Secondly
they want it as a lender of last resort available to bail them out with
public money when they overextend themselves.
One of the sub-texts of the current
official debate over the construction of a "new financial
architecture" is actually a struggle over whether private
financiers should bear the costs of the crises they provoke through
speculation and reckless lending instead of getting bailed out with
public money.
This issue is actually on the agenda of
bodies like the Group of Twenty (G20) though it is discussed under the
euphemistic title of "involving the private sector" in crisis
resolution. Behind the scenes a very real struggle is going on regarding
what to do about making private investors take responsibility for their
actions. Some G7 governments recognize they cannot go on bailing out
private investors and speculators. Others, like US Treasury Secretary
Larry Summers, are holding out for maximum freedom for private
financiers while holding the IMF in reserve to bail them out should they
get into trouble again.
Proposals for what to do about private
debts in the event of a financial crisis show up in the speeches of
Canada’s Finance Minister, Paul Martin, chair of the G20. In September
of 1998 Martin proposed an Emergency Standstill Clause (ESC) in
international debt contracts that would enable debtor countries facing a
financial crisis to declare a moratorium on their payments while they
negotiate new arrangements with their creditors.
This proposal for a legislated ESC is
opposed by private banks and other financial institutions. Hence Martin
has backed off from advocating a standstill clause exclusively and now
talks about "an Automatic Rollover" as another option. An
Automatic Rollover in debt contracts would give borrowers the option of
lengthening the maturity of their debts but at penalty interest rates.
This option would be more favourable to private financial interests than
to debtor countries since it would not involve any actual debt
write-offs but would involve higher, punitive interest rates.
Instead of measures that merely
rollover or reschedule debts we need to campaign for
standstills followed by the actual writing off debts.
As we debate ways of decommissioning
the IMF, we must keep in mind the need to also propose alternatives to
fulfill one of its origin functions – dealing with financial crises.
Just as a campaign for decommissioning a nuclear power plant must take
into account its one legitimate function - the generation of
electricity, so must a campaign for the decommissioning of the IMF have
some idea of what kind of body should be established to deal with
financial crises.
Instead of having to turn to the IMF at
times of financial crisis, all countries must have the option of
declaring a standstill on their debt payments and turning to a neutral
adjudicative body that does not impose conditions on the write-down of
unpayable debts. Archbishop Njongonkulu Ndungane of Cape Town, speaking
at the Jubilee South Summit, describes the need for "an independent
arbitration process, a form of insolvency procedure which will ensure
that creditors no longer call all the shots when countries run into
difficulties."
While we engage in debates about
decommissioning the IMF we must also not lose sight of the ways that the
powers of the IMF and of the World Bank may actually be reinforced by
the implementation of the Köln Debt Initiative.
Above I referred to how the Poverty
Reduction and Growth Facility may actually result in the legitimation of
SAPs. Some of us fear it may also lead to a new role for the IMF and the
World Bank in setting social policies with disastrous results. We need
only recall how the IMF compelled Mazambique to quintuple user fees for
rural health centres and privatize rural water distribution under
earlier programs.
Neither is the plan to delegate the
social aspects of PRGF conditionality to the World Bank reassuring. The
World Bank sponsored a seminar on privatizing education in less
developed countries during its annual meeting in September. The Bank
invited a representative of Merrill Lynch and Co. who presented the
corporate view that education and training should be seen as "a
US$2 trillion global market" waiting to be tapped by entrepreneurs.
He said privatization "will result in sustainable, high
price/earnings ratios and significant opportunity for investors."
One shudders at the thought of what this would mean for the very poor
who are already excluded from educational opportunities due to their
inability to afford school fees.
There’s another item on the immediate
policy agenda that could lead to the strengthening rather than the
decommissioning of the IMF. This is the funding of HIPC Trust Funds.
There was some expectation that we in the Canadian Jubilee campaign
would lobby the Canadian government for more money for these Trust
Funds. But we in CEJI see such a campaign as a contradiction since we
don’t support HIPC itself
The HIPC Trust Funds are a dubious
means of dealing with the costs of debt write-offs. They keeping up the
fiction that low-income country debts can be "repaid" and that
the Fund and the Bank must retain their status as "preferred
creditors" whose loans are never in default. The Trust Funds
involve collecting donor contributions to make debt payments to
International Financial Institution’s on behalf of HIPCs as though
debts were being serviced on schedule. It would be simpler to write-off
the loans owed to the Bank and the Fund as "bad debts" as
would have happened long ago were they debts owed to private financial
institutions.
The World Bank can afford to write off
low income debts out of its reserves worth some US$3.24 billion. The
Bank has another US$16.7 billion in "retained earnings" (or
what a private bank would call profits). These could be used without
seeking more contributions to the HIPC Trust Funds which legitimize HIPC
itself and its Structural Adjustment conditionality. Forcing the World
Bank to use its own reserves would make it take responsibility for its
imprudent lending in the past.
Similarly the IMF has loan loss
reserves worth some US$18 billion. Forcing the Fund to use its own
reserves to write off illegitimate debts could also be a step towards
its decommissioning
D. Genuine South-North Dialogue
We in the Canadian Jubilee campaign
take the position that the agenda for future Jubilee debt campaigning
must be worked out in dialogue with Jubilee South. I repeat that we
agree with our partners in Jubilee South who say "There can be no
effective redressing of North South relations or effective debt action
if the people of the South are not directly involved."
It is unacceptable for northern
campaigners to set priorities for Southern groups to follow. Solidarity
demands a genuine dialogue between Southern and Northern groups to
develop complementary responses wherein campaigns can be adapted to
different national realities.
While our goals are the same, our
tactics may differ from country to country. For example, our Canadian
campaign against SAPs is greatly strengthened by our ability to show how
the most drastic cuts ever made to Canadian social programs were
prescribed by an IMF Article IV review of the Canadian economy in 1994.
Our own experience with bad advice from the IMF reinforces our call for
not allowing the IMF to dictate social policies anywhere.
Similarly we need to dialogue
concerning how we can build the case for canceling middle-income country
debt through highlighting actionable issues. In Canada a simple call for
writing-off Brazil’s debt would be hard to sell. Brazil’s external
debt (US$228 billion) is bigger than all 41 HIPCs combined (US$227
billion). In some circles in Canada the Köln debt initiative is already
viewed as "generous". We need to show how the 40 million
Brazilians who live below the poverty line are as oppressed by debt as a
re the poor in Malawi.
To make the case for canceling Brazil’s
debts we in Canada need to co-ordinate our actions with the call by the
Brazilian campaign for an audit of Brazil’s debt. We need better
information on how much of Brazil’s debt dates back to the era of the
military dictatorship; how much was wasted on dubious projects; and how
much resulted from compounding of interest payments after Northern
governments unilaterally raised interest rates. Such an audit would help
us communicate to our constituency the illegitimacy of much of Brazil’s
debt.
In this same spirit we have suggested
that UNCTAD or the UNDP could play a role in auditing the origins of all
LDC debt.
To move from the recognition of the
illegitimacy of so much of the debt to actual campaigning on these
themes we need more detailed action plans worked out in dialogue with
our partners in Jubilee South. Identifying short term goals without
abandoning long-term objectives and without having our efforts co-opted
will be a delicate task. The precise roles of Southern and Northern
campaigns may differ. For example, we in the North may have a particular
role in what the Brazilians call "creating a climate where the
correlation of forces is more favourable to suspension of the external
debt"
While we educate our constituencies on
our broader goals involving the economic, social, political and ethical
illegitimacy of the debt, we still need to conduct some discreet
campaigns that set precedents for achieving our broader goals.
In Canada we have discussed the need to
set a modern legal precedent for canceling odious debts. This would be
tremendously important for all the peoples who have suffered under
oppressive regimes. We in CEJI have talked about making the cancellation
of South Africa’s apartheid era debt a priority for us but
before we launch any campaign we have to sit down with our comrades from
South Africa to discuss the goals, objectives, tactics and strategies.
We may not have the capacity to do
everything all at once but we certainly intend to move beyond lobbying
G7 leaders to campaigns that recognize the social, political and
ecological debts owed by North to the South.
In conclusion I again stress that
genuine partnership requires dialogue. We embark on this dialogue in the
spirit of the words of Samora Machal who once counseled that "International
solidarity is not an act of charity. It is an act of unity among allies
fighting on different terrains towards the same objectives."
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